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Insights

2025 MHA Manufacturing Report

Welcome to the latest iteration of MHA’s UK manufacturing report 

The international economic turbulence over the last few years, from Brexit to the Covid 19 pandemic and more recently the ongoing uncertainty of tariffs, has no doubt left deep and permanent scars on the sector. Recent domestic events, including the increases in taxation and the ongoing skills shortages, as well as the inflationary and supply chain pressures caused by the war in Ukraine, have not helped either. 

We surveyed 1,000 manufacturing business owners and C-suite across the country in May to understand both the challenges and opportunities they currently face and what lies ahead for the sector over the next 12 months.

In the short term at least, the outlook remains difficult. The majority of respondents said that the biggest current challenges facing their businesses are the tax increases announced by the UK government in October 2024 which has significantly increased their wage bill as well as creating uncertainty around investment. 

Our survey also highlights that while businesses can see that technological and innovation will have a positive impact on their sector going forward and allow for more automation, the investment that is required still remains a challenge for manufacturing businesses. 

Alongside this, they are continually having to be vigilant around the cyber threats to their businesses which, as we have recently witnessed in the retail sector, can cause not only a huge amount of disruption but also a fall in production and ultimately loss of revenue. 

On a positive note, the research did highlight that the UK government has the opportunity to shift the dial for the manufacturing sector with the upcoming announcement of its Industrial Strategy. There was a consensus from our survey respondents that the government’s key priorities should be technology, skills and infrastructure. 

And finally, the manufacturing sector and the people who work within it are above all resilient and innovative, so it comes as no surprise that despite all the challenges they face, they remain relatively positive about the future with a majority of respondents suggesting that they expect growth over the next 12 months.

Our specialist insight

"We hope that the report proves to be a valuable resource and we look forward to discussing its findings and conclusions. Many thanks to our clients who gave of their time to be interviewed, the authors and researchers who pulled the report together and to Professor Joe Nellis of Cranfield University, Richard Hobbs of Black Country Chamber of Commerce and my fellow MHA partners for their thoughtful contributions."

Chris Barlow, Head of Manufacturing at MHA
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Economic overview from Joe Nellis

 

Manufacturing at the crossroads

An economic update from Professor Joe Nellis, economic adviser to MHA

UK economic activity dipped by 0.3% in April, marking the steepest monthly decline since late 2023. A record fall in exports — particularly to the United States due to new tariffs — was a major factor behind this downturn. However, the broader picture is more encouraging: the economy expanded by 0.7% in the first quarter, leading to a projected annual growth rate of around 1% this year, with a modest increase expected in 2026, which will provide the manufacturing sector with more certainty. 

Inflation in May at 3.4% was well above the Bank of England's target and is likely to edge close to 4% by the end of 2025 before falling back again. But signs of stabilisation in wage growth, a persistent worry for the Bank of England, could lead to interest rate reductions later in the year. Government investment spending announced in the recent Spending Review — particularly in transport, energy, housing, defence, and digital technology — will provide much-needed and welcome support to economic recovery, although global uncertainties and rising business costs continue to pose challenges.

While no longer in the top 10 countries for manufacturing output, the sector remains a cornerstone of the UK economy, employing 2.6 million workers across the UK and generating an estimated £184 billion in GDP according to the most recent estimates in 2022. Figures released this month by the Government highlight that from October to December 2024, the manufacturing sector accounted for 8.6% of total UK economic output and 8.0% of employment. The sector is also a significant contributor to international trade and investment.

As an important serious plank of our domestic economy, the Government should actively and positively invest in the UK manufacturing sector, and the details of its long-awaited Industrial Strategy will be key to this.

With firms embracing automation, domestic production, and new trade links, the sector has the potential to grow steadily over the next decade — helping to underpin long-term, sustainable economic resilience.

Our specialist insight

"As an important serious plank of our domestic economy, the Government should actively and positively invest in the UK manufacturing sector, and the details of its long-awaited Industrial Strategy will be key to this.

With firms embracing automation, domestic production, and new trade links, the sector has the potential to grow steadily over the next decade — helping to underpin long-term, sustainable economic resilience."

Professor Joe Nellis, economic adviser to MHA
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Growth but challenges expected

 

UK plc has suffered from a series of economic woes since 2019 with the departure of the UK from the EU, the impact of the Covid 19 pandemic and its long drawn out fall out, economic volatility leading to stubbornly high interest rates and inflation and most recently macro uncertainty around the tariff regime with the United States. 

Despite this negative backdrop, the UK manufacturing industry is positive about the future with virtually all of our survey respondents anticipating some growth in the next 12 months. While fifty-five percent anticipate modest growth of between 3-5%, a significant minority - 22% - believe that their businesses will grow by more than 6% in the next year. Given the challenging last decade or more, this is a positive sign that, having fallen so far, the only way is indeed up and the sector is by now well-adjusted to the new economic reality. 

The picture is not a uniform one across the country with a number of regions with a modest percentage of respondents suggesting that they do not anticipate any growth in the next 12 months but by contrast there is a more positive outlook in the West Midlands with 6% of businesses expecting to grow by over 10%.

 

% of companies expecting to grow by 3-5%

Page 4 Growth Expected regions

 

Challenges 

While there is some positivity around growth from manufacturers, significant challenges remain across a varied spectrum of issues. Thirty-five percent of respondents (the biggest number) said that the recent employment tax increases were their biggest challenge, 34% said that the technological evolution was a concern and 33% stated that it was cyber security. 

Skills shortages and regulation were also named by seven out of the 12 regions as one of their top three concerns, while five said supply chains as a challenge. Perhaps surprisingly, given the current focus on the issue, only two regions, Scotland and the North West flagged energy costs as a challenge and only manufacturing businesses in Yorkshire felt tariffs were one of their top three concerns. 

Surprisingly, tariffs did not feature more prominently as a concern for more businesses. However, this may be due to the survey taking place after the UK and US agreed to remove some levies, but was completed before 4 June, when the US raised import taxes for steel and aluminium to 50%, with the levy temporarily remaining at 25% for the UK. 

Similarly surprising was how few businesses mentioned energy costs as one of their key challenges which may have been down to when their contracts are expiring. 

Regulation and the associated costs are deeply concerning for manufacturers, particularly post-Brexit. Many survey respondents commented that additional administration due to Brexit and ensuring that there is compliance across the UK and EU results in duplication, which comes at a huge cost and without visible benefit. 

The trading relationship with the EU was another area where survey respondents commented that they would like to see the government focus on. As the UK’s largest trading partner and closest neighbour, respondents commented that better tariffs and easing the administrative burden of trading with Europe would markedly improve the growth opportunities for UK manufacturers. 

For businesses with a turnover of less than £100m, the top three challenges were:

  1. tax increases (35%),
  2. energy costs (32%)
  3. supply chain challenges (32%). 

Businesses with a turnover of between £100 - £250m flagged:

  1. the technological evolution (40%),
  2. tax increases (35%)
  3. skills shortages (33%). 

Larger businesses with a turnover of more than £250m, listed:

  1. cyber security (36%) as a key challenge,
  2. followed by tax increases (36%)
  3. and then regulation (35%).

It is unsurprising that for larger businesses that the impact of tax, while important, is eclipsed by technology and cyber security. However, it is interesting that skills shortages, frequently touted as an ongoing concern for the manufacturing industry, have not featured higher on the list of challenges. 

However, 45% of respondents with a turnover of under £100m said that they have a training partnership with a university or college, suggesting that the skills shortage is less of a concern for them. While 48% with a turnover of over £250m have been investing in AI with a view to closing the skills gap in a different way. 

 

What are the top challenges currently impacting your business?

Page 5 Table top challenges impacting business

 

Addressing the challenges

When asked about what actions they would be taking to addressing these challenges and achieve the growth they are looking for over the next 12 months, our respondents (who could select multiple responses) had a variety of practical and innovative options: 43% said that they would be increasing their supply chain options, 42% said that they would be investing in strengthening their IT systems, 40% said that they would look at more efficient energy options, 39% said that they would be upskilling existing staff and 38% said that they would invest in new technology or AI. Only 27% said that they would respond by recruiting new staff, while at the same time, an equal proportion said they would actively reduce headcount. 

 

What actions need to be taken to address these challenges?

Page 6 actions need to be taken for challenges

 

Tax increases

Since April 2023, businesses across the UK have faced a series of tax increases that have impacted their growth and their ability to invest. The previous Conservative government increased corporation tax to 25% in April 2023, and in the Autumn Budget in 2024 the new Labour government announced an increase in employers' national insurance contributions, the change in thresholds and minimum wage that came as a surprising and potentially damaging blow to the sector which hardly instilled the confidence to grow. Several survey respondents commented that these increases had driven them to reduce their headcount and put a hold on future recruitment. 

When asked about how the Autumn 2024 Budget had affected any future potential manufacturing investments, 68% of respondents said the increased costs because of the Budget would negatively impact their plans. The top three areas where investments were most likely to be scaled back were technology, AI and R&D all mentioned by 70% of companies. These are all areas where, ideally, companies should be investing in order to develop their businesses in view of the threats previously identified.  

 

Welcome investment in R&D

Despite the Autumn Budget 55% of all survey respondents said that they would be investing between 3-5% more in R&D in the next 12 months compared to the previous 12 months and even encouragingly 27% said that they would be investing more than 6% above their previous budget.  These are positive signs for the long term future of the sector. 

 

With regards to R&D, what are you planning on investing in, in the next 12 months?

Page 6 RD plans

In the South West, 36% of businesses said that they would invest more than 6% in R&D, while in Wales it was 40% and over half - 52% - in the West Midlands. 

Typically, it was larger companies who were willing to invest more with 30% of businesses with a turnover of over £250m will invest between 6-10% compared to only 19% of businesses with a turnover of less than £100m in R&D. This may well reflect the fact that the changes made to the rules relating to R&D claims in recent years have affected small companies more significantly.

When asked where they would be spending their R&D budget, out of five choices, 44% of all respondents said that they would be investing in process improvement, 43% in new product development and 43% in material development and testing. 

For businesses with a turnover under £100m, 42% said that their biggest investment would be in Equipment and Machinery Development which was less of a priority for bigger companies. However, for businesses with a turnover of more than £250m, 46% of respondents said that material development and testing and technology adoption is where they would be investing.

Restrictions are coming in within the UK R&D tax credit regimes through the introduction of the merged scheme, which came in for the accounting period beginning 1 April 2024. Under these restrictions, a large majority of companies claiming R&D credits in the UK will no longer be able to claim on overseas costs.

However, there is a potential exemption that might apply to some manufacturing companies. If there is a reasonable basis to say that the conditions that exist in an overseas jurisdiction cannot be replicated within the UK in a specified time frame and at a specified level of skill, then it could be possible to include some of these as overseas costs. Manufacturing businesses still have a window of opportunity to reinvestigate their R&D position. 

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Industrial strategy

 

According to official figures, manufacturing now accounts for only 8.6% of GDP of the UK economy compared to 17% in 1990 as the services sector has taken over as the largest contributor to GDP. And, in July 2024, analysis from Make UK showed that the UK had fallen out of the top 10 manufacturing nations in the world for the first time since the Industrial Revolution as other major economies such as China, the US and EU continue to invest heavily. 

Over the last few decades, there has been a lack of a well-defined plan to support manufacturers, which has led to a gentle and seemingly inevitable decline. For the UK to regain its position within the top 10 manufacturers, a comprehensive Industrial Strategy is urgently needed to put the manufacturing sector on the path to growth once again and to encourage foreign investment. A formal industrial strategy was drawn up by the Conservative government under Theresa May but was then dropped by her successors. 

The launch of the long-awaited Industrial Strategy in March this year came as welcome news to manufacturers who understandably want some certainty around the Government’s plans for investment. As we await the announcement on the final Industrial Strategy, it is understood that it will focus on key areas including aerospace, pharmaceuticals, luxury car making and frontier technologies such as artificial intelligence, nuclear small modular reactors (SMRs), quantum computing, floating offshore wind turbines and more traditional sectors such as steel and defence. 

While the announcement of the Industrial Strategy was by and large warmly received by the manufacturing sector as it highlighted the need to increase skills and attract foreign investment, the million dollar question for this and indeed several planks of the Government’s long term strategy) is whether it will lead to permanent economic growth.

While the Prime Minister had already set out key investment in infrastructure such as ports and gigafactories through the £7bn National Wealth Fund there were limited announcements from the Chancellor’s recent Spending Review. 

The government’s 'Invest 2035: the UK's modern industrial strategy' has identified eight Growth Driving sectors: 

  1. Advanced Manufacturing,
  2. Clean Energy Industries,
  3. Creative Industries,
  4. Defence,
  5. Digital and Technologies,
  6. Financial Services,
  7. Life Sciences
  8. Professional and Business Services. 

Within this, it focuses on 12 key areas: 

  1. skills,
  2. recruitment of international talent,
  3. data,
  4. R&D,
  5. technology,
  6. access to finance,
  7. competition,
  8. regulation,
  9. energy prices,
  10. grid connections,
  11. infrastructure
  12. planning.

However, there were some regional variations as to the most pressing issue:

 

Not all is rosy in the garden. Our survey respondents and the manufacturing sector as a whole felt the Government in trailing these 12 priorities had done little to address the specific issues impacting SMEs, international trading relationships, particularly with Europe, and unsurprisingly the competitiveness of the UK’s taxation environment by contrast to our key trading partners. In addition, there were concerns from SMEs that the board of the Industrial Strategy was focused more on larger businesses. 

 

Closing the skills gap

As the survey shows, the shortage of skills has been a perennial concern for manufacturers for years. For manufacturers while the Apprenticeship Levy was a good idea in theory when it was introduced in 2017 it is widely accepted that it has not had the desired impact. The problem has been exacerbated by the post-Brexit restrictions on the freedom of movement of workers. 

Again, our respondents are unwilling to wait for Central Government action. They are acting now to close the skills gap by creating an apprenticeship programme, training partnership with college or university or alternatively, investing in AI with a view to closing the skills gap in a different way all listed as equally valuable. 

For companies of different sizes there were divergent options. Forty-five percent of businesses with a turnover of under £100m are planning to use a training partnership with a college or university whereas 48% of businesses with a turnover of over £250m are planning to invest in AI with a view to closing the skills gap in an alternative manner. 

 

The Growing Role of Technology in Manufacturing

Modern manufacturing is no longer solely about machinery. It’s increasingly driven by software, data, and digital systems. New tools such as AI, automation, and advanced data analytics are becoming just as essential as the physical machines on the shop floor. 

For instance, software now controls machines to allow for quicker product adjustments and fewer costly errors. From an accounting and operations perspective, this translates to better asset utilisation, higher efficiency, and improved margins.

AI, in particular, is playing a transformative role. Manufacturers are using AI to:

  • Predict machine breakdowns and reduce unplanned downtime
  • Plan production more effectively in response to real-time demand
  • Perform automated quality control to reduce waste and energy use

Interestingly, manufacturers tend to alternate between building in-house AI capabilities and outsourcing to consultants such as Cloud Factory, depending on their specific needs and internal capabilities.

Automation is also helping address ongoing labour shortages by taking over repetitive or hazardous tasks like packing or welding. This not only helps maintain output levels but also reduces labour costs and improves workplace safety.

Beyond the shop floor, technologies like Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) systems and stock management modules are providing better oversight of inventory and workflows. These digital tools enable manufacturers to track costs, manage inputs more precisely, and improve cash flow and forecasting.

Emerging innovations such as digital twins (virtual models of physical systems) and 5G-enabled remote control are transforming how factories operate, allowing changes to be tested virtually before implementation and enabling remote troubleshooting that reduces downtime.

 

Capital Allowances and Incentives

Despite the technological momentum, many businesses may not be fully aware of the financial incentives available to support investment. 

  • Full expensing (from 1 April 2023) provides 100% first-year relief on qualifying plant and machinery.
  • This replaced the super-deduction, which offered 130% relief on main-rate assets and 50% on special-rate assets purchased between 1 April 2021 and 31 March 2023.
  • The Annual Investment Allowance (AIA) continues to provide 100% relief on qualifying expenditure up to £1 million.

There are, of course, considerations around how companies should use these allowances and specific rules attached to each, but overall the capital allowance regime is considered to be advantageous (and underused) in assisting businesses to claim relief for investment.

The future of manufacturing lies in deeper collaboration between tech firms and manufacturers. Examples include custom software to track parts through assembly lines, or advances in CNC machines that replace traditional engineering techniques. There is also growing interest in technologies such as 3D printing, quantum computing, and data management, which hold significant potential but may still be in early stages of adoption for many manufacturers.

Ultimately, those manufacturers who leverage emerging technologies (not just in equipment but also in data, systems, and strategy) are likely to outperform, both in terms of operational efficiency and long-term competitiveness.

 

Energy costs 

One of the key focus areas for the government’s upcoming Industrial Strategy is energy costs. While the government is keen to grow the sector, the energy demands required to fulfil this growth is significant. The development of new technologies, such as data centres, as well as more traditional areas, such as steel production, require huge amounts of energy. However, currently, the UK’s energy costs are the highest among major economies and this is a key concern for all manufacturers as highlighted in our survey. 

Manufacturing companies and Make UK have been lobbying the government to provide support to reduce energy costs to ensure that the UK remains competitive and attractive to investors. While the biggest energy-intensive companies already receive a subsidy through the British Industry Supercharger scheme, which was set up by the Conservatives in 2024 however, this does not support all manufacturers. According to recent reports, the Chancellor is looking at proposals to provide a £1bn annual subsidy to manufacturers to lower energy costs. 

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Sustainability

 

Approximately one-fifth of the world’s carbon emissions come from the manufacturing sector. The sector is under continued pressure to decarbonise and there are ongoing efforts to help the sector to become more sustainable. Currently, approximately 50% of manufacturing businesses have some form of sustainability framework within their business. Businesses with a turnover of under £500m do not have to do any material reporting; however, there is now an expectation from their customers, so they are voluntarily reporting on governance, risk, metrics and climate. For larger businesses, it is mandatory for them to report on their sustainability measures. 

According to survey respondents, who were able to pick multiple options, 48% are using recyclable materials where possible, 47% are implementing lean manufacturing practices, 46% are partnering with sustainable suppliers, 45% are reducing energy consumption and 44% are adopting renewable energy sources. 

While all manufacturing businesses are keen to invest in sustainable practices, this often comes at a cost to the business, which in this challenging economic environment means that they cannot do as much as they would like. 

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Looking ahead

Our specialist insight

"While the survey highlighted that there are considerable challenges for the manufacturing sector, it also showed that there are bright spots ahead in the next 12 months. The announcement of the long-awaited Industrial Strategy could and should be the impetus that the sector needs to set it on the path to more sustainable growth in the UK, with public and private investment and the ability to withstand any further economic volatility.

Regardless of its impact there is clear evidence from our research that despite the obvious challenges it faces UK manufacturing is above all resilient and looking to the future. Investments in technology, R&D and bridging the skills gap are all welcome signs of a sector that is charting its own course for success."

Chris Barlow, Partner & Manufacturing & Engineering specialist

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If you have any questions about our manufacturing report please contact Chris Barlow by clicking the button below.